Oscars 2. 01. 7 Predictions: Who Will Win at 8. Academy Awards. Let’s start this Oscar predictions party with the concession that to rank wildly different works of art is—unlike, say, the 1. But as long as the Academy keeps doing it, we’ll do it too, because it’s fun, and it’s the only sport some of us know enough about to weigh in on. Without further ado, here’s who you’re likely to see clutching gold come Feb. Dale Robinette—Lionsgate.

Best Picture. Arrival . But its victory would come at the oversight of Moonlight, whose vivid, heartbreaking coming- of- age story not only deserves the award on its merits, but means something particularly special given the dearth of stories about characters like its protagonist, Chiron. As director Barry Jenkins recently told TIME, “When images do arise to fill that lack, they take on added importance.”MOREDo You Hate Musicals? The Dazzling La La Land Could Change That. Roadside Attractions. Actor in a Leading Role.

Casey Affleck (Manchester By The Sea). But there are some who believe his controversial past —sexual harassment allegations settled in 2.

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But if anyone can pull out an upset, it’s Isabelle Huppert. Captivating in Elle as a rape survivor who seeks revenge on her assailant, the French actress finally has a chance to get her due with American audiences and round out her international awards collection (she already has a BAFTA, a C. Though he only appears in the first of the film’s three chapters, his presence looms large even after his screen time ends.

She’s swept at the BAFTAs, Golden Globes, Critics Choice and SAG Awards, not to mention the Tony she won for playing the same role for the 2. Broadway revival of the August Wilson play. It’s Davis’ year, and as good as some of her fellow nominees’ performances were, they may as well skip the just- in- case speechwriting. MORE This Video Is Proof That Viola Davis Always Gives the Best Acceptance Speeches. John Phillips—Getty Images. Directing. Denis Villeneuve (Arrival) . The undeflatable hype over the musical feels like a tribute to its wunderkind director —who, at 3.

Best Director ever, which has stood since Norman Taurog won in 1. Tara Ziemba—Getty Images. Writing (Original Screenplay)Hell or High Water (Taylor Sheridan) . Lonergan’s characters talk like real people talk —in some cases, as with Casey Affleck’s taciturn janitor, as though spitting out the honest truth might just kill them, and in others, like Michelle Williams’ grieving ex- wife, as though it’s the only thing keeping them alive. Whitby—Getty Images.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)Arrival (Eric Heisserer) . On the other, it’s a chance for the Academy to posthumously honor Pulitzer Prize- winning playwright August Wilson. But Barry Jenkins and Tarell Alvin Mc. Craney are poised to collect some of the recognition Moonlight deserves, for the semi- autobiographical, unproduced short play Mc.

Craney wrote and Jenkins’ adaptation of it. Though much of Moonlight’s storytelling is in its visuals, and its protagonist is far from garrulous, what words he does speak don’t quickly fade from memory. MOREMoonlight Filmmaker Barry Jenkins on the Bittersweet Feeling of Being a First. Disney. Animated Feature Film.

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Kubo and the Two Strings . All this, while managing to be fun and spritely and entertaining. Its total domination, unfortunately, overshadows the gorgeous stop- motion- animated Kubo and the Two Strings, which also refuses to talk down to pint- sized audiences, delivering a complex story about grief and loss. MOREReview: Zootopia Gives the Old Teachable Moment a Jolt of Life.

Sony Pictures Classics. Foreign Language Film. Land of Mine . And while outrage around the order may boost that movie’s profile, the award here is more likely to go to Maren Ade’s German comedy about a father using all sorts of tactics (most memorably a wig and a set of false teeth) to reconnect with his overworked consultant daughter. It’s so beloved that Paramount is rumored to be making an American adaptation, starring Jack Nicholson and Kristen Wiig. ESPN Films. Best Documentary Feature. The Here After (2017) Full Movie on this page.

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Fire at Sea . Though there’s discussion as to whether a brief qualifying theatrical run qualifies Ezra Edelman’s eight- hour ESPN program as a movie, there’s little debate as to its value as a treatise on race and celebrity in America as told through Simpson’s life. But between Ava Du. Vernay’s look at mass incarceration in 1. Raoul Peck’s resuscitation of James Baldwin in I Am Not Your Negro, and Fire at Sea’s glimpse into the European migrant crisis, the entire category has rarely felt so urgent.